Published 17th January 2010 - 5 comments - 2183 views -
One of the most disquieting predictions of the IPCC, the scientific panel considered by many to be the world's most authoritative source of information on global warming, is a complete fraud, according to today's Times.
The IPCC prediction that the Himalayan glaciers, the prime source of water for hundreds of millions of people in South Asia, would disappear by 2035 have underpinned the case for urgent action on climate change. Environmental activists have made the prediction a centrepiece of their campaigns, with the full weight of the IPCC behind them, and the prediction has received huge media play, but here's what The Times has to say:
"A WARNING that climate change will melt most of the Himalayan glaciers by 2035 is likely to be retracted after a series of scientific blunders by the United Nations body that issued it.
Two years ago the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) issued a benchmark report that was claimed to incorporate the latest and most detailed research into the impact of global warming. A central claim was the world’s glaciers were melting so fast that those in the Himalayas could vanish by 2035.
In the past few days the scientists behind the warning have admitted that it was based on a news story in the New Scientist, a popular science journal, published eight years before the IPCC's 2007 report.
It has also emerged that the New Scientist report was itself based on a short telephone interview with Syed Hasnain, a little-known Indian scientist then based at Jawaharlal Nehru University in Delhi."
If the Times report is correct, this could be bigger than "Climategate" as it displays a stunning lack of judgment and total scientific incompetence. Not to mention a staggering disregard for the basics of fact checking before making the wildest predictions of horrific catastrophe.
Serious scientists, of course, have real concerns that the Himalayan glaciers are shrinking, although at a much, much slower rate than the IPCC claims.
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