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2012:  Natural disasters will be worse and worse?

Published 15th December 2009 - 3 comments - 4512 views -

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NVGGgncVq-4

COP15 was opened with a disaster movie similar to The Day After Tomorrow or 2012 by Roland Emmerich. Why? To show, that Mann-mad climate change disaster is just a fiction like the Hollywood flicks?

 

M Y T H O L O G Y

PACHAURI: IPCC boss used to say, that unless we do something by 2020, we are doomed. Now he says the deadline is even shorter - we must act within the next 3 years. Tcktck.

MAYANS: By a coincidence, the Kyoto Protocol expires roughly the same time, when the world is destined to end with an Apocylypse. According to a Mayan Prophecy - 2012. Have you seen the latest Roland Emmerich movie on this?

ST JOHN THE DIVINE : Such prophecies of Apocalypse are normal part of almost every human culture. People love horror stories.  One part of Bible is called Revelation of St. John the Divine and it says, what future he saw: "The first angel sounded, and there followed hail and fire mingled with blood... all green grass was burnt up.... and the third part of the sea became blood... and many men died of the waters, because they were made bitter." Seems like St. John was a member of Greenpeace.

 

 

R E A L I T Y

 

1) Polar Bears: population is rising, not  falling

-"Just about every day you see something on TV about bears," says Chucky Gruben, an Inuvialuit hunter, "so much of it is bulls--t."

-Some estimates of the global population are around 5,000–10,000 in the early 1970s; Current estimates put the global population at between 20,000 and 25,000.

- Read: http://www.macleans.ca/science/environment/article.jsp?content=20080123_5242_5242&page=1

- Read: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/5664069/Polar-bear-expert-barred-by-global-warmists.html

-The Innuits protest against protection of polar bears. They hunt them to get food and money for living. They have hunted them for millenia. Who are we to come in and bully them?

-If anything endangers the polar bears, it is hunting, not climate change

 

2) Antarctica melting?

  • Antarctica ice sheet has been slightly growing in thickness by 5 mm/year (1992 to 2003).
  • Half of Antarctic is warming (west) and half is cooling (east). Nobody knows why.
  • Arctic ice melting ended/slowed a couple of years ago. Now the ice is growing. Good for polar bears.
  • Hard to believe Al Gore, that we will have ice-free summers in the Arctic within a few years. At this rate, within 90 years perhaps... if the trend should continue. (see http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/current.area.jpg)
  • The medialised images of melting ice are from summer. The ice grows back during winter.

ice

From: National Snow and Ice Data Center (http://nsidc.org/sotc/sea_ice.html)

 

3) Sea level rising?

  • Over the last century sea levels rose by 20 cm. According to IPCC 2007 estimates, sea level might rise by another 18-59 cm within the next century.
  • Sea level rise stopped around 2005.

  

  • SUNDARBAN: We have heard about the vanishing Sundarban islands (such as Lohachara) being swallowed by rising sea levels. Thousands of people lost their homes. But the alarmists don't tell you that these islands were destroyed by erosion, not rising water. They are in a river delta. Since dams were built upstream, the sediments no longer come to replace the eroded coast. Also the Bengal Basin is slowly tilting due to neo-tectonic activity... But no link with global warming or sea level rise.
  • MALDIVES:  The fears of drowning of the Maldives seem to be unfounded. The research of A. Mörner in 2001 discovered this: From 1790 to 1970 sea level was about 20 cm higher than today. In the 1970s, sea level fell by about 20 cm to its present level. Sea level has remained stable for the last 30 years, implying that there are no traces of any alarming on-going sea level rise. (Mörner was a president of the INQUA Commission on Sea Level Changes and Coastal Evolution in 1999-2003;  http://www.speroforum.com/a/21314/Scientist-Maldives-sea-level-is-not-rising)
  • MAP: If you look at some oceanology map, you can see, that some parts of ocean, the sea level is going up, while in other parts it is going down.

    •  

    4) Hurricanes rising?

    hurricanes

    From: James Cato. Hurricanes and Tropical Storms: Higher Frequency for the Future? Available at <http://snre.ufl.edu/pubsevents/source/fall05/stormy.htm>

    The truth is, that hurricanes cause ever greater damages. Why? Because we have more people, more houses, higher salaries, more expensive electronics in our houses.

    5) Floods rising?

    flood

    From: Flood Chronology of the Carson River Basin, California and Nevada. Nevada Water Science Center (http://nevada.usgs.gov/crfld/floodfreq_desc.htm)

    Can you see any trend?  Where?

     

    6) Forest fires rising?

    fires

    From: R. Black. Forest fires - a continuing Greek tragedy. BBC. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/8220491.stm

    I cannot see any rising trend. Can you?

     

     

     

     

     CONCLUSION

    Even if there is some global warming or Mann-made climate change, it does not lead to any disaster.

     

     

    Category: Climate Science, | Tags: disaster,



    Comments

    redneck on 23rd December 2009:

    this COP 15 opening video was an insult to thinking men and women
    COP 15 ended were it should have, on the misthaufen

    Dave Hunt on 17th March 2010:

    I have no idea which one is worse. All of them is equally destructive.
    < href=“http://www.davehuntministries.org”>Dave Hunt</a>

    Dave on 17th March 2010:

    I have no idea which one is worse. All of them is equally destructive.
    <a >Dave Hunt</a>

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